Rosewood finished furniture market appreciation in the future
â–¡â–¡ä¸¥é›ªæ¾ From September 24 to October 5, the 17th Conference of the Parties to the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora (CITES) was held in Johannesburg, South Africa. The Conference of the Parties will discuss comprehensive issues such as maritime introduction, law enforcement, bulk trade, non-risk determination, and topics such as agarwood, tropical timber (Hedgehog rosewood, Thai rosewood) and related amendments to the CITES Convention. Although the 17th Meeting of the States Parties has not yet announced the results, the relevant parties have previously expected to determine the future direction of the redwood industry. This expectation has triggered a new round of price hikes in the market. Since this year, the price of raw materials for rosewood has soared, especially in recent years. The price of the month is almost a few days, which is comparable to the price of first-tier cities. What is the current price of each rosewood raw material? Has the hot market induced by CITES returned in 2013? Will the finished furniture market rise? Dalbergia tree species, hedgehog rosewood, and Daxi rosewood control There are many kinds of common materials in the mahogany market. The woods such as Dalbergia sinensis, Sian rosewood, and Hedgehog rosewood have been widely known since the Ming and Qing Dynasties, and some have appeared as substitutes in recent years. With the strengthening of control, many mahogany are also facing the dilemma of no material available. It is reported that Dalbergia species and Hedgehog rosewood control may be strengthened, large Brazilian rosewood may enter Appendix II, Southeast Asian rosewood is still not under control. It is understood that the proposal for redwood wood includes: Proposal No. 53 from Thailand, the removal of the leguminous Dalbergia (also known as Siam Rosewood) in footnote 5 of Appendix II, marked with footnote 4, ie a few Except for organs under artificial conditions and tissues cultured ex vivo, all forms and derivatives of this species are regulated; Proposition No. 54 is from Mexico, and 13 species of Dalbergia species in Mexico and Central America are listed in Appendix II. They are Calderon Dalbergia, Galician Dalbergia, Dalbergia, Dalbergia, Dalbergia, Dalbergia, Dalbergia, Dalbergia, etc. Proposal No. 55 from Argentina, Brazil, Melon Timara (also known as Guatemala) and Kenya, listed all Dalbergia species in Appendix II (except for the species already in Appendix I). The Southeast Asian flowering white rosewood A. sylvestris (including Barry Dalbergia) may be included in the endangered control as part of the 55th proposal, while the large fruit rosewood (including the Vietnamese rosewood and the bird's foot rosewood) is not protected by the proposal; The proposal comes from the European Union and Gabon, and three kinds of ancient Yi Sumu (also known as Gu Yi Buti or Guibao Bean) are listed in Appendix II. They are Demi Guyi Sumu, Pellegrini, and Suyimu. Tesman Guyi Sumu, the wood of these three species is commonly known as Bahua; Proposition 57 comes from Benin, Burkina Faso, Chad, Côte d'Ivoire, EU, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Mali, Nigeria, Senegal And Togo, listed Hedgehog rosewood in Appendix II, but no footnotes. The price of raw materials of rosewood is obviously increasing With the convening of the 17th Conference of the Parties, the discussion in the redwood industry on the raw materials of the redwood industry has been divided. Some people think that the proposal to list a variety of mahogany materials in Appendix II of endangered species is not a "special typhoon" for the mahogany market; others believe that there are many kinds of red wood, and individual mahogany materials do not affect the overall trend. It is understood that the main materials used in the current mahogany industry are the Siamese rosewood, Bali Dalbergia and Burmese rosewood, which were mainly discussed by the 17th CITES Conference of the Parties. The main material of Siamese rosewood is about 150,000 yuan per ton at the beginning of the year. Breaking through 200,000 yuan. It is expected that more than 250,000 yuan per ton at the beginning of the year, now more than 300,000 yuan, an average increase of 40%; Bali Dalbergia before the Spring Festival, 46,000 yuan per ton, now about 60,000 yuan, 30,000 yuan per ton of ordinary materials, now It is about 45,000 yuan, an increase of 50%. Burmese rosewood has increased from 10,000 yuan per ton at the beginning of the year to 15,000 yuan to 17,000 yuan. The larger specifications have increased from 18,000 yuan at the beginning of the year to about 30,000 yuan, up 60% from the beginning of the year. Up to 70%. In order to prove the price increase in the raw material market, for example, the African rosewood that has not entered the national standard of mahogany, the raw material at the beginning of the year is about 2,500 yuan per ton, and now it is about 5,000 yuan, or nearly 100%. The above prices visually reflect the increase in raw materials from the data and are displayed throughout the industry chain: the country of origin, Laos, Vietnam, Myanmar and other countries of origin have been increasingly penalized for export policies and penalties for private logging. In the country, several major furniture producing areas and important raw materials markets have also experienced madness. Because the price of raw materials is changing with each passing day, companies must start fast when buying materials. Even many timber merchants saw large pieces of saws sold in pieces to increase the yield. The price increase of materials has a great impact on enterprises. It is understood that there are about 3,000 companies that used to make big red rosewood furniture in Xianyou. Now there are only four or five hundred, and there are only a few hundred before Jiangmen in Guangdong. Ten, this is common in Dongyang, Dayong, Dacheng and other places of origin. At present, people are more concerned about whether the price of raw materials will return to the market in 2013? According to Wu Jianjian, general manager of Beijing Jinfei Redwood Furniture Co., Ltd., from the current economic and market situation, it is difficult to draw conclusions to the market in 2013, but at present, the raw material market of mahogany is almost the same as 2013. He estimated that before 2019, the average price of Siamese rosewood common materials rose to 300,000 yuan per ton, Bali Dalbergia reached about 80,000 yuan per ton, rosewood per ton 40,000 to 50,000 yuan, then rosewood The market is expected to really warm up. Redwood material control upgrade The furniture market can be expected in the future As a precious mahogany, Dalbergia and sandalwood rosewood are listed in the CITES Appendix II. As we all know, the scented rosewood and sandalwood rosewood that came through legal channels in the market are becoming scarcer. Apart from the official auction, the demolition of the house has become a "big head." With the lack of material sources, these two major species have also been gradually subdivided into multiple grades, and high-grade raw materials or finished products are market-invaluable. When the commonly used red wood species enters the collection level, it is a “shuffle†for the mahogany market. Many years ago, white rosewood (A. sylvestris), purple sandalwood (East African black rosewood), Burmese rosewood (large fruit rosewood), squid (Bali Dalbergia), dimpled Dalbergia replaced lobular rosewood, Hainan huanghuali, Lushi black Dalbergia, Vietnamese huanghuali, and Sian rosewood have become the mainstay of the mahogany market. After many years, it may be "a new generation of new people." As a major event in determining the fate of raw materials in the redwood industry, the impact of the CITES Conference of the Parties on the mahogany raw material market and the finished furniture market is multifaceted. After the proposal is passed, regardless of where the origin is, whether the export is legal, Siamese rosewood, Burmese rosewood, red (white) rosewood, hedgehog rosewood, etc., without CITES import and export license, China as CITES Member states, China Customs must implement the Convention to refuse entry. In the long run, the stocks of these kinds of materials and the furniture they manufacture will become increasingly scarce and gradually fade out of the mass market. From the perspective of resource supply, Southeast Asian rosewood is still out of control and can be regarded as half "good news." The good news is that even without the CITES import and export license, China Customs can release it; the disadvantage is that the domestic control of Southeast Asian countries (Laos, Cambodia) is still going on, and the difficulty of export still exists. Under this circumstance, what is the impact of raw material prices on the rise in 2013 and the impact on finished furniture? Kong Wenyu, general manager of Beijing Taihexiang mahogany furniture, analyzed that due to the downturn, the main task of the current mahogany enterprises is still to go to inventory, and it will take some time for the raw material price to pass on the finished furniture. So at present, most furniture companies mention The price is unlikely, but it will not be ruled out that most companies will raise prices, because in addition to raw material prices, rising labor, logistics and other costs will force companies to increase prices in order to survive, it can be said that mahogany furniture It is imperative to raise prices. In general, even if it has been prepared before, but as a major event to determine the fate of the raw materials of the redwood industry, the proposal will inevitably have a certain impact on the market. With the implementation of CITES, relevant countries have also introduced corresponding tariff policies to increase the cost of exports. The price increase of raw materials will be reflected in the price of furniture after 3 months to 6 months. Most industry insiders predict that the future trend of the mahogany furniture market will be considered “promising prospectsâ€. 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